ICCM Conferences, The 6th International Conference on Computational Methods (ICCM2015)

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Parametric reliability sensitivity analysis using failure probability ratio function
Pengfei Wei

Last modified: 2015-05-07

Abstract


Reducing the failure probability is an important task in the design of engineering structures. In this paper, a reliability sensitivity analysis technique, called failure probability ratio function, is firstly developed for providing the analysts quantitative information on failure probability reduction while one or a set of distribution parameters of model inputs are changed. The proposed failure probability ratio function can be especially useful for failure probability reduction, reliability-based optimization and reduction of the epistemic uncertainty of parameters. The Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), Importance sampling (IS) and Truncated Importance Sampling (TIS) procedures, which need only a set of samples for implementing them, are introduced for efficiently computing the proposed sensitivity indices. A numerical example is introduced for illustrating the engineering significance of the proposed sensitivity indices and verifying the efficiency and accuracy of the MCS, IS and TIS procedures.

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